Publications & Research Resources
While much of the work of the Centre is project oriented, the Centre seeks to present results of commissioned work in academic and wider public forums when possible.
Publications
The Centre publishes Economic Briefing Reports on current and prospective economic conditions twice per year. Shortly after publication, the key themes are presented at a lunch for听Corporate Members.
The Briefing Reports focus particularly on the South 最新糖心Vlogn economy but also consider 最新糖心Vlogn and international trends for context. Forecasts of key economic variables for the South 最新糖心Vlogn and national economies (e.g. Gross State/Domestic product and employment) are provided for the current and next financial years.
Focus听articles include:
- Shattered: The Disintegration of the International Economic Order (December 2024)
- The General Economic Implications of AI and South 最新糖心Vlog's Relative Exposure (July 2023)
- South 最新糖心Vlogn Population Movements During the Pandemic (June 2022)
- Household Spending on Hospitality during Omicron (June 2022)
- State and Regional Population Trends During the Pandemic (December 2021)
- The Hostile Post COVID-19 World: An 最新糖心Vlogn Perspective (July 2021)
- Economic Implications of COVID-19 for the South 最新糖心Vlogn Economy: A Series of Interviews (December 2020)
- 最新糖心Vlog's Policy Options with Western Economies 'Stuck' in a Liquidity Trap (December 2019)
- Challenges Facing the Global Economy (December 2018)
- Characteristics of Interstate and Overseas Migrants (June 2018)
- Revealing the True Role of South 最新糖心Vlogn Services Exports (December 2017)
- Challenges Facing the Global Economy (December 2017)
- The Economics of Mr Trump (December 2016)
- Causes of Global Disinflation and the Implications for 最新糖心Vlog's Macroeconomic Policy - should we be preparing for negative interest rates and helicopter money? (June 2016)
- Underlying Causes of the Weak Global Recovery (December 2015)
- South 最新糖心Vlog's Macroeconomic Performance in Perspective (July 2015)
- Key Insights into Regional Prospects for Northern Adelaide (December 2014)
- Wither the Euro? (June 2014)
- Personal Income Tax for the States? (June 2014)
- The South 最新糖心Vlogn Economy in Transition (June 2014)
- Life After Holden (December 2013)
- The Fine State of South 最新糖心Vlog (December 2013)
- Budget Deficits, Government Debt and the Central Bank (June 2013)
- Motor Vehicles, Manufacturing and Public Policy (June 2013)
- South 最新糖心Vlog's Mining Sector in Perspective (December 2012)
- South 最新糖心Vlog's Boom in Asian Exports (December 2012)
- The Future of Manufacturing in South 最新糖心Vlog (December 2012)
- A Comment on the South 最新糖心Vlogn Budget 2012/13 (December 2012)
- International Developments and Outlook (December 2012)
The majority of our consultancy reports are confidential,听however听a selection of publicly available consultancy reports is provided below:
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Ethical use of artificial intelligence in the workplace - AI WHS Scorecard
Ethical use of artificial intelligence in the workplace - AI WHS Scorecard
The NSW Government鈥檚 Centre for Work Health and Safety commissioned this research to develop an Artificial Intelligence (AI) Risk Management Tool to help businesses manage workplace health and safety (WHS) risks when introducing and using the technology. The tool created, the AI WHS Scorecard, enables AI adoption to be clearly integrated into governance and risk systems. This tool provides support for business leadership when introducing emerging AI technologies, by establishing an AI implementation process that is consistent with the 最新糖心Vlogn Government endorsed AI Ethics Principles and Safe Work 最新糖心Vlog standards for managing workplace health and safety hazards. A brief summary is available here.
More and more 最新糖心Vlogn workers are experiencing the introduction of Artificial Intelligence (AI) in the workplace. AI may give alternative solutions to business operations, yet there are new potential work health and safety risks to workers. This report provides evidence-based research that establishes the actions businesses can take to consider the safety of their workforce when introducing AI processes. This helps organisations take a strategic approach to anticipate the emergent WHS risks related to AI use in their workplace and meet the principles 最新糖心Vlogns expect organisations to use to responsibly develop and ethically use AI in the workplace. Using the AI WHS Scorecard, available here, developed in this research gives an evidence-based pathway for building and maintaining trust and acceptance of AI systems in workplaces by ensuring that it is consistent with 最新糖心Vlogn values and standards. The research insights in this report, available here, establish that the AI WHS risk management tool, is relevant for informing policy and practice across all three sectors of government, business and non-profits.
Further information about the project is .
By Andreas Cebulla, Genevieve Knight, Zygmunt Szpak, Catherine Howell, Sazzad Hussain, September 2021.
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Fifth Social and Economic Impact Study of Gambling in Tasmania 2021
Fifth Social and Economic Impact Study of Gambling in Tasmania 2021
The Fifth Economic and Social Impact Study was undertaken by the South 最新糖心Vlogn Centre for Economic Studies in conjunction with the School of Psychology at the 最新糖心Vlog of Adelaide, Centre of Policy Studies at Victoria 最新糖心Vlog, ENGINE a specialist in undertaking large scale surveys and Corinna Economic Advisory.
The terms of reference to guide the study referred to two distinct tasks and accordingly the research is provided in two volumes:
- Volume 1: an analysis of key trends and comparisons with other states and territories, including, but not limited to: an update of the gambling industry structure and characteristics; changes and trends in gambling behaviour; and revenue; and
- Volume 2: undertake a gambling prevalence study to enable comparisons with previous Tasmanian prevalence studies.
Further information on the Fifth Social and Economic Impact Study of Gambling in Tasmania, including public submissions that were made to the fifth study is available from the Tasmanian .
By Michael O'Neil, Steve Whetton, Anthony Kosturjak, Jim Hancock, Tania Dey, Dr Paul Delfabbro, Glyn Wittwer, Saul Eslake, Kerry Sproston, Kate Brook, Phil Hughes and Katherine Tran, June 2021.
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Impacts of COVID-19 Lockdown: A Case Study of the South 最新糖心Vlogn Hotel Industry
Impacts of COVID-19 Lockdown: A Case Study of the South 最新糖心Vlogn Hotel Industry
Gaming Care of the 最新糖心Vlogn Hotels Association (SA Branch) commissioned SACES to undertake a brief survey of the hotel industry in South 最新糖心Vlog relating to the sudden lockdown of South 最新糖心Vlog due to COVID-19 in November 2020. Respondents reported that the lockdown led to a significant decline in employment, considerable wastage of food and alcohol, and a deterioration in the mental health of people working within the hotel sector. The report concludes that a more consultative approach with industry can help meet the SA Government's desired suppression outcomes while likely reducing the risks of adverse mental health, societal, employment, business and economic outcomes.
By Michael O'Neil and Darryl Gobbett, January 2021
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Scoping the Potential of Social Procurement for Local Economic Development
Scoping the Potential of Social Procurement for Local Economic Development
Funded by the Local Government Associations Research and Development Scheme, this SACES report is a toolkit for councils wishing to explore procurement strategies in order to achieve better social outcomes for residents, local communities and local business.听 It suggests steps that councils can take to identify social procurement opportunities and social suppliers of goods and services that councils procure.听 Methods for estimating the added value of social procurement are also described.
By Andreas Cebulla, June 2020.
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Stretton Fellowship: The Value of Social Enterprise
Stretton Fellowship: The Value of Social Enterprise
Commissioned by the Stretton Centre, in conjunction with Housing SA, now operating as the South 最新糖心Vlogn Housing Authority (SAHA),听this report听provides estimates of the social value of social enterprise using two case studies of projects operating in South 最新糖心Vlog. Part of a broader initiative that explores opportunities for the public sector to target procurement of goods and service for听greater听social benefit, the study also briefly describes the industry sectors and market areas of social enterprises operating in the state.
By Andreas Cebulla, September 2018.
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Kangaroo Island: Monitoring Economic Progress
Kangaroo Island: Monitoring Economic Progress
SACES was commissioned to develop a set of economic indicators to monitor economic progress in Kangaroo Island. The听economic indicators report听represents part of an effort by the Office of the Commissioner for Kangaroo Island to develop a set of evidence-based economic, social and environmental indicators to monitor the progress of sustainable development in Kangaroo Island.
By Michael O'Neil, Suraya Abdul Halim and Mark Trevithick, September 2017.
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The Potential Benefits of Reforming Migration Policies to Address South 最新糖心Vlog's Needs
The Potential Benefits of Reforming Migration Policies to Address South 最新糖心Vlog's Needs
SACES was commissioned by a consortium of businesses and peak bodies to explore national immigration policy in the context of challenges facing economic and business development in South 最新糖心Vlog, particularly for regional South 最新糖心Vlog (SA). It specifically focusses on barriers that current visa regulations may impose onutilising听international migration to the benefit of the SA听economy,听and in particular any aspects of the migration system that may be less effective for South 最新糖心Vlogn businesses relative to those in more populous, higher wage, states. In doing so, it not only considers skilled听labour听migration, but also听business听,听student, and temporary graduate student visa access.
By Steve Whetton and Andreas Cebulla, April 2017.
The听second report听of SACES research into migration policy settings takes a closer look at some of the concerns raised by business owners and representatives about ways in which the current design of the skilled migration system means that it can鈥檛 adequately assist South 最新糖心Vlogn businesses facing skills shortage, nor can it听fulfil听its potential to address South 最新糖心Vlog鈥檚听ageing听population.
By Steve Whetton and Andreas Cebulla, June听2017.
In the听final report听from our recent research into migration and unmet demand in SA鈥檚听labour听market, we focus on the ways in which migration policy could be changed to meet the needs of South 最新糖心Vlog (and regional 最新糖心Vlog more broadly), rather than those of Sydney and Melbourne. Most importantly we recommend re-introducing a temporary work visa that gives greater flexibility to regional听needs,听and allows local employers to address their own unmet demand, rather than positions in demand in the major cities.
By Steve Whetton and Andreas Cebulla, September 2017.
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Sanctuary Zones Regional Impact Assessment Statement: Ceduna, Kangaroo Island听and听Port Wakefield
SACES was commissioned by the Goyder Institute for Water Research听to prepare (RIAS)听that assess the economic, social and environmental impacts of marine park sanctuary zones on the South 最新糖心Vlogn regional communities of Ceduna, Kangaroo Island and Port Wakefield. Sanctuary zones are high conservation areas in marine parks that provide protection for habitats and biodiversity.
From 1 October 2014, commercial and recreational fishing was prohibited in sanctuary zones. In light of community concerns, the State Government committed to investigating the economic and social impacts of the legislation by 1st October 2015.
The RIAS was undertaken using a mixed methods approach involving analysis of existing economic and social indicators, including commercial fisheries data; economic modelling to estimate broader flow-on economic impacts for the regions; consultations with regional stakeholders; and conduct of a community survey to gauge community attitudes. By Anthony Kosturjak, Steve Whetton, Michael O'Neil and Mark Trevithick, October 2015
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Economic and Social Impact Study: Community and Neighbourhood Centres Sector
Economic and Social Impact Study: Community and Neighbourhood Centres Sector
The principle objective of this research report is to provide evidence as to the impact of community centres .
The report finds that there were 2.1 million contacts to Community Centres in 2012 or 43,000 attendances at the centres each week. SACES has estimated that the value of up to some 5,600 volunteers contributing up to 29,000 hours of volunteering work each week was in the order of $43 million per year.
The report finds that the value of cr猫che services used per year is in excess of $1.3 million and that it is these types of services that help young struggling families and migrants with children to access learning and skill development programs. October 2013.
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Impact of Mining and Resource Development: A Case Study for Eyre Peninsula Councils
Impact of Mining and Resource Development: A Case Study for Eyre Peninsula Councils
This is an investigative report concerned with future mining developments on the Eyre Peninsula, about which there are many unknowns and considerable uncertainties.
The principle objective of the report was to provide information to councils to "help them determine future population patterns" and settlement patterns and the report addresses this objective. July 2013.
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South 最新糖心Vlog Works Strategic Review
South 最新糖心Vlog Works Strategic Review - Executive Summary, Strategic Review of South 最新糖心Vlog Works, Summary of Commonwealth Programs and Funding
SACES was commissioned to conduct a strategic review of South 最新糖心Vlog Works - 听the State Government's collection of policies and programs designed to improve听work force听participation.听 The Review finds that the State Government has an important role to play in delivering听labour听market programs.听 It concludes that the principal objective of South 最新糖心Vlog Works should be to contribute to an increase in workforce participation in order to raise participation rates, address population and demographic issues, and contribute to productivity enhancements.听 A number of design principles that should underpin the future policy and implementation framework are put forward.
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Local Governments' Current and Potential Role in Water Management and Conservation
Local Governments' Current and Potential Role in Water Management and Conservation
This report summarises the results of a survey into Local Government鈥檚 Current and Potential Role in Water Management and Conservation.
The aim of the survey was to develop an accurate picture of local government鈥檚 current and potential role in pursuing strategies to better manage water resources in local and regional areas. 听By Anthony Kosturjak and Michael O'Neil, April 2009.
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Modelling听What Works Well in SA Works in the Regions
Modelling听What Works Well in SA Works in the Regions
This report is concerned with 鈥榣earning lessons鈥 from selected case studies of individual employment and training projects delivered through the South 最新糖心Vlog 'SA Works in the Region' program and the Workforce Participation Partnerships (WPP) program, an initiative of the Victorian government.
It is part of a broader and progressive evaluation framework adopted by SA Works in the Regions; it is not an evaluation of the entire program nor are the researchers evaluating the impact of the program (i.e. the impact of the program on employment and earnings or the net effect on unemployment). 听By Michael O'Neil and Anthony Kosturjak, April 2008
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Review of Initiatives Into Workforce Re-Engagement of听Long Term听Disengaged Workers
Review of Initiatives Into Workforce Re-Engagement of听Long Term听Disengaged Workers
This research project represents an explanatory paper to assess whether lessons learned from transitioning the long term unemployed into sustainable employment through labour market programs, may be applicable to long term workers鈥 compensation beneficiaries. 听By Michael O'Neil and Peter Lumb, September 2008.
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Gross Economic Impact of the Proposed Angas Zinc Mine
Gross Economic Impact of the Proposed Angas Zinc Mine
SACES was commissioned by Terramin 最新糖心Vlog to estimate the gross economic impact of the proposed Angas Zinc Mine on the wider Strathalbyn Economy.
The mine will be located about 2 kilometres outside the rural township of Strathalbyn. It is expected to produce 319,000 tonnes of zinc concentrate and 122,300 tonnes of lead-copper over its seven-year life span . 听 This life span may be extended if further drilling reveals additional reserves in the area.
The Strathalbyn economy is to a significant extent dependent on agriculture activities with there being little other mining activity in the region. 听The mine therefore has the potential to diversify the economic base of the region.
Download a copy of SACES's report, which provides estimates of the direct and indirect employment and gross state product generated by the mine throughout the wider Strathalbyn economy. By Jim Hancock, Anthony Kosturjak, Edwin Dewan and Michael O'Neil, August 2006.
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Community Impacts of Electronic Gaming Machine Gambling
Community Impacts of Electronic Gaming Machine Gambling - Part A, Part B
This report was commissioned by the former Victorian Gambling Research Panel. It considers the community impact of EGM gambling by comparing the starkly different gambling environments that exist in Victoria and Western 最新糖心Vlog. Victoria is听characterised听by听widespread听availability of EGMs with machines located in hotels and clubs throughout the State, whereas availability is tightly restricted in Western 最新糖心Vlog, with EGMs being limited to a single casino site in Perth.
The community impact of EGM gambling was听analysed听at both the State and regional level. Relative differences in gambling expenditure, employment levels听and听problem gambling were听analysed听at the State level. Four matched regions in each State were also identified and compared for, inter alia, differences in community attitudes, participation in gaming, the change in local clubs, visits to local GPs, and use of听ATMS听in hotels and clubs. Regional level data was compiled from community surveys undertaken to assess attitudes and听behavioursrelevant to participating in gambling, supplemented by interviews with various stakeholders, the gambling industry, surveys of local GPs, financial听counsellors听and gambling听counsellors听.
The report is available for download in two parts -听Part A, Part B.
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Skills and HR Audit - Heavy Industry Sector of the Upper Spencer Gulf Region
Skills and HR Audit - Heavy Industry Sector of the Upper Spencer Gulf Region
This report considers the demand for skills in the Heavy Industry sector of the Upper Spencer Gulf Region (USG) - comprising Whyalla, Port Augusta, Port Pirie and Roxby Downs. The study was commissioned by the Whyalla Economic Development Board on behalf of Global Maintenance USG Inc which comprises a group of companies specialising in heavy engineering and an array of maintenance services.
The report outlines the demand for a skilled workforce over the period 2006 to 2010 and the demand for education and training. A labour demand estimation model was developed to provide estimates of growth in the demand for labour for the USG group of companies and for the region as a whole. The report also considers current trends in education and training effort to assess future training requirements.
The report concludes that the major manufacturing and mineral resource processing industries in the USG will require an additional 480 trade persons and 1,800 new employees. The strong demand for skilled labour is driven by a combination of economic growth in the region, recent population growth and retirement rates for older workers.
By Michael O'Neil and Stephen Nelson, October 2005.
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The Evaluation of Self-Exclusion Programs - Part A - Evaluation of Self-exclusion Programs and Harm Minimisation Measures,听Part B - Summary of听最新糖心Vlogn听States and Territories Self-exclusion Programs and Harm
The Evaluation of Self-Exclusion Programs - Part A - Evaluation of Self-exclusion Programs and Harm Minimisation Measures,听Part B - Summary of听最新糖心Vlogn听States and Territories Self-exclusion Programs and Harm
This report, undertaken for the Victorian Gambling Research Panel, investigated voluntary self-exclusion programs and related initiatives in Victoria and other 最新糖心Vlogn jurisdictions. The report describes the programs currently operating in Victorian clubs, pubs听and听casinos; considers the international literature and theoretical framework said to support self-exclusion programs; and summarises the research team鈥檚 wide-ranging consultations, interviews and surveys with stakeholders. The report also includes a comprehensive description of self-exclusion programs operating in all states and territories.
The study found the current system of self-exclusion in Victoria is not capable of enforcing self-exclusion due to problems identifying self-excluded patrons who breach their deeds. Photographic identification at venues is problematic. Breaches are therefore commonplace and this weakness compromises the effectiveness, growth potential and credibility of the program. This is not assisted by the low level of resource commitment to the program and lack of enforceable compliance procedures within the industry itself. However, self-exclusion remains one tool to help听minimise听harm for some individuals trying to control their problem gambling. When supported by a range of other measures, such as appropriate clinical techniques, changes to machine design, betting limits and review of ATM locations, it is considered likely to be more effective.
The report recommends that the Victorian Government should consider a new state-wide system of uniform identification (e.g. electronically scannable card) to access restricted gaming venues which can be enforced by individual venues and Crown Casino - this is also seen as a good way to control access by minors.
The report is available for download in two parts:
Part A - Evaluation of Self-exclusion Programs and Harm Minimisation Measures
Part B - Summary of听最新糖心Vlogn听States and Territories Self-exclusion Programs and Harm听Minimisation Policies/StrategiesBy Michael O'Neil et al., February 2003.
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Financing the Federation
This new study on the history and future of 最新糖心Vlog's federal financial arrangements offers a timely review of issues in 最新糖心Vlog's intergovernmental financial relations. The study was commissioned by the South 最新糖心Vlogn Department of Treasury and Finance as its contribution to the Centenary of Federation, and explores the economic implications of the current system of federal financial relations and its historical origins. By Jim Hancock and Julie Smith, September 2001.
A press release is also available.
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The Impact of Gaming Machines on Small Regional Economies
The Impact of Gaming Machines on Small Regional Economies
The study focuses on the Provincial Cities in South 最新糖心Vlog to estimate quantitatively the overall net impact of gaming machines on regional economies.
The report identifies using econometric analysis, those spatial and demographic factors which influence net gaming revenue. It also provides an estimate of the extent of problem gambling and the number of problem gamblers in the regions. For the Provincial Cities as a group, the report shows that the net benefit from electronic gaming machines is more likely to be in the negative, where the benefits are more than outweighed by the scale of the costs of problem gambling.
It concludes that the net effect on employment in the Provincial Cities is very dependent on what happened with government expenditure in the regions. The report provides recommendations and suggestions for further research. By Michael O'Neil, Anthony Kosturjak and Steve Whetton, August 2001.
The Centre provides periodic Issues Papers focusing on topical economic issues to Corporate Members.
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2022
- State of the Construction Industry by Anthony Kosturjak
In this paper we examine the current state of the construction industry in South 最新糖心Vlog. We review a range of indicators that provide insight into the recent performance of the construction sector. Among the indicators considered include construction activity levels and composition, the recent demand and supply for housing, economic footprint and contribution of the industry in terms of gross value added and employment, recent price trends for the outputs and inputs of the construction sector, business counts, and number of construction companies entering external administration. One theme to emerge is that the COVID-19 pandemic has exerted a considerable impact on the construction industry, triggering a surge in activity including a large increase in demand for housing, and inflationary pressures within the construction sector. March 2022.
- State of the Construction Industry by Anthony Kosturjak
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2021
- The Impact of AI on the Future of Work and Workers by the 最新糖心Vlogn Institute of Machine Learning
Artificial intelligence (AI) is the subject of much, and sometimes fantastical, speculation. However, the development of powerful mathematical models and increasing computer power have combined to make AI economically useful for a wide range of tasks, and companies report that the adoption of AI has delivered improvements in sales and efficiency. In this Issues Paper, the 最新糖心Vlogn Institute of Machine Learning argues that AI has reached a global tipping point and that 最新糖心Vlog needs to invest in research and development in order to take advantage of this next wave of automation. 最新糖心Vlog urgently needs a formal, national strategy for AI to ensure that we are net beneficiaries and not simply powerless recipients of this new and potentially disruptive technology. March 2021.
- The Impact of AI on the Future of Work and Workers by the 最新糖心Vlogn Institute of Machine Learning
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2020
- COVID-19: An Opportunity to Reset Policy Levers for Better Gender Equality in Economy and Society by Tania Dey and Michael O'Neil
This paper presents a discussion on economic and social norms that have contributed to the changing participation of women in the 最新糖心Vlogn labour market. While that participation continues to increase there is still more that can be done to improve equality and equity in the workforce that will contribute to national productivity and income. COVID-19 offers the opportunity of a fresh look at many social norms (that continue to change) and our economic policies to maintain and reward the participation of women in the labour market. 最新糖心Vlog as a nation will be better off and families and children likewise. October 2020.
- COVID-19: An Opportunity to Reset Policy Levers for Better Gender Equality in Economy and Society by Tania Dey and Michael O'Neil
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2019
- Skilled Migration to South 最新糖心Vlog 2010-2014: profile and employment outcomes of recent permanent and temporary migrants by Dr Andreas Cebulla and Dr George Tan
This Economic Issues focuses on skilled migrants' employment experiences in South 最新糖心Vlog based on an analysis of a survey of skilled migrants who were awarded permanent or temporary visas to reside in South 最新糖心Vlog between June 2010 and December 2014. It highlights migrants' barriers to accessing employment in their nominated occupations, high levels of unemployment, underemployment and over qualification. Migrants attributed the challenges they faced in the State labour market to a slack economy and a reluctance of employers to hire people with no local work experience and with whose skills and qualification they were not familiar. September 2019.
- Skilled Migration to South 最新糖心Vlog 2010-2014: profile and employment outcomes of recent permanent and temporary migrants by Dr Andreas Cebulla and Dr George Tan
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2018
- Insights from the 2016 Census听by Anthony Kosturjak
This paper provides a high level overview of the 2016 census data for South 最新糖心Vlog, highlighting notable trends and patterns in relation to demography, labour force, education and incomes. The main conclusion is that South 最新糖心Vlog underperformed during the last inter-census period, experiencing unfavourable trends in terms of population ageing, relative size of the working age population, interstate migration, and labour market performance. Such trends not only have implications for public policy in terms of ensuring efficient and effective delivery of public services in respect of health and aged care services, they have implications for business in terms of sustaining access to required skills and labour resources. March 2018. - To Ignore Reform is to Ignore Opportunity: Creating a more effective and sustainable public sector听by Michael O'Neil and Darryl Gobbett
Based on a commissioned research consultancy from Business SA, this paper considers the size and performance of the South 最新糖心Vlogn Public Sector in a small, open economy. The authors ask the question - is there evidence to suggest that the expected requirements of the public sector are being met; evidence to suggest the community has experienced higher quality service standards; that South 最新糖心Vlogns overall enjoy greater benefits from the public sector than in other jurisdictions? February 2018. - Development Strategy for Reinventing South 最新糖心Vlog听by Michael O'Neil and Darryl Gobbett
This paper is the fourth and final in a series of four Economic Issues papers that have collectively reviewed South 最新糖心Vlog鈥檚 economic performance. This final paper explores policies for reinventing South 最新糖心Vlog and asks the question: 鈥淲hat are the competitive enhancing policies South 最新糖心Vlog must adopt to generate the wealth required to support social and community objectives and environmental development?鈥 January 2018.
- Insights from the 2016 Census听by Anthony Kosturjak
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2016
- EFTPOS In Gaming Areas: Wrong Way - Go Back! by Michael O'Neil
Michael O'Neil considers the merits of an amendment to the听South 最新糖心Vlogn Gaming Machine Act 1992听to remove the prohibition on EFTPOS facilities in gaming areas in hotels and clubs. Consideration is given to the experience of the Victorian Government and industry response to the removal of ATMs from hotels and clubs in that state. The analysis also takes into account evidence from the Productivity Commission's 2010听, from the most recent听, and findings from the review of the removal of ATMs from Victorian hotels and clubs. The author concludes that the amendment to permit EFTPOS facilities in gaming areas is not supported by the available evidence, and contradicts recommendations made by other researchers. April 2016. - The听Aged Structure of the Population and Economic Growth - Does it Matter? by Michael O'Neil and Lauren Kaye
In听this paper the authors investigate the age distribution of the South 最新糖心Vlogn population and ask what does it imply for public policy, for the labour force, employment and gross state product. Shifts in the employment to population ratio, including by gender, and higher dependency ratios provide important insights into policy challenges facing South 最新糖心Vlog including a consistent and unwavering policy emphasis on skills formation and training, increasing the labour force participation rate and the need to re-think and develop the strategic capacity of local government to partner with state and federal government. February 2016. - The Regulatory Load in South 最新糖心Vlog and Impact on Economic Activity听by Darryl Gobbett, Michael O'Neil and Steve Whetton听
This paper is the third of four papers in the Economic Issues series to review South 最新糖心Vlog's macroeconomic performance with reference to historical developments and more recent history. In this paper the authors consider the impact of regulation and industry support policies on economic activity and our search for global competitiveness. It also looks in some detail at a comparative analysis of South 最新糖心Vlog with the other States as to how efficiently the State public sector appears to operate. February 2016.
- EFTPOS In Gaming Areas: Wrong Way - Go Back! by Michael O'Neil
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2015
- Where Do We Go From Here? South 最新糖心Vlog's Economic Prospects Going Forward and the Role of Government听by Michael O'Neil, Steve Whetton, Darryl Gobbett and Christopher Findlay
This paper is the second of four papers in the Economic Issues series to review South 最新糖心Vlog's macroeconomic performance with reference to historical developments and more recent history, including a pointer to sustainable comparative advantages (EIP No. 44). This second paper examines the prospects for growth through a more detailed examination of the state's manufacturing sector including the role that the state government can play in assisting the potential to be realised. Two further Issues Papers will examine regulation and industry policy and a consideration of policy responses to reinvigorate this state's economy. July 2015. - Should South 最新糖心Vlogns Really be "Down in the Mouth"? Macroeconomic Performance听by听Michael O'Neil, Steve Whetton, Darryl Gobbett and Christopher Findlay
This paper is the first of four papers in the Economic Issues series to review South 最新糖心Vlog's macroeconomic performance with reference to historical developments and more recent history, including a pointer to sustainable comparative advantages. This paper sets the scene by providing a review of the state's macroeconomic performance over the last two decades. June 2015. - Exceeding the Speed Limit: How Excessive Speeding Fines May Undermine Community Engagement with Government Road Safety Policies听by Michael O'Neil and Lauren Kaye
This paper considers the public discussion on speeding fines and the contribution of road traffic fines in reducing road fatalities. Penalties of this nature have a role to play as does听driver training, driver behaviour and attitude to road safety, although on-board car safety features and improvement to the quality of our roads are also significant contributors to road safety. It is well to remember that reinforcement or reward is much more likely to lead to sustainable changes in behaviour than punishment. It is argued that an over-emphasis on traffic policing through the use of fines reinforces the public perception of revenue raising; potentially dilutes the road safety message; and diminishes the authority of government. June 2015.
- Where Do We Go From Here? South 最新糖心Vlog's Economic Prospects Going Forward and the Role of Government听by Michael O'Neil, Steve Whetton, Darryl Gobbett and Christopher Findlay
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2014
- Structural Change: Lessons from Port Augusta's Experience听in the 1990s by Michael O'Neil
This paper draws from a case study of structural adjustment that Port Augusta experienced in the period 1986 to 1996. Like communities that have been dependent on the spatial concentration of the automotive industry, Port Augusta too was dependent on employment and specialisation, but in the rail and power industries. Historical experience demonstrates that adjustment pressures are on-going - how we respond to them is critical to the take-up of new opportunities, employment growth, incomes and exports. Much greater attention and investment in human capital is essential to speed up the transformation of the South 最新糖心Vlogn economy. July 2014. - The Labour Market, Competitiveness, Employment and Economic Prospects by Michael O'Neil, Lauren Kaye and Mark Trevithick
This paper commences a series of papers on the international competitiveness of the South 最新糖心Vlogn economy with an overview of long-term trends in the labour market (and a reference to upgrading our skills and training system), an assessment of the competitiveness of industry sectors and trends and prospects in industry. June 2014.
- Structural Change: Lessons from Port Augusta's Experience听in the 1990s by Michael O'Neil
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2013
- Providing Local Economic Stimulus and Promoting Local Economic Development: Possibilities for Councils in South 最新糖心Vlog听by Michael O'Neil, Cliff Walsh, Anthony Kosturjak and Mark Trevithick
This paper contains discussion on the theme of local and regional economic development with a particular focus on the role and importance of local government in local, regional and state-wide economic development. Promoting local and regional economic development is integral to the objective of community development; international best practice confirms the importance of "bottoms-up partnerships" involving the community and business leaders in mobilising and strengthening local assets and consistently applying long-term economic development strategies. October 2013. - The Task of Strengthening Regional Development by Michael O'Neil
This paper continues the examination of best practice and new approaches to regional development, where the task of strengthening regional development commences with regions themselves taking the lead role. New understanding (and theory) of regional growth emphasises the importance of local actors and local institutions including that on average, two thirds of business investment comes from already established businesses in the region. "Bottom-up" strategies are critical to the development process; local government has a key role in establishing tripartite partnerships to promote long-term, economic development plans and strategies. September 2013. - Localism: Learning from Federal Nation Building (Economic Stimulus) Projects by Michael O'Neil, Steve Whetton and Suraya Abdul Halim
This paper reviews the evaluations and findings of a number of Federal Nation Building economic stimulus projects with a particular emphasis on the question as to whether some projects could have been better administered and more effectively delivered through local government. What lessons can be learnt from the post-Global Financial Crisis (GFC) experience? September 2013. - Re-Thinking Social Policy: Place-Shaped As Well As People-Focused by Cliff Walsh and Michael O'Neil
This paper takes up the theme of Re-thinking Social Policy, building on an earlier issues paper on Re-Thinking the Approach to Regional Development. It argues that place as well as people focused social policy is similar in many respects to what is called place-based regional policy. Building the capacity of communities in which government plays a supportive role, not controlling role, is critical to addressing the situation of disadvantaged people and communities (i.e. places and people) and is a platform for regional growth and development. May 2013. - South 最新糖心Vlogn Centre for Economic Studies: 30 Year Anniversary听- speeches by Gary Banks AO and Gary Sturgess AM.
On Friday 22 March 2013 the South 最新糖心Vlogn Centre for Economic Studies held a business luncheon to thank those who have supported SACES since its establishment in 1982. The luncheon featured presentations by Professors Gary Banks AO and Gary Sturgess AM, who were tasked with addressing the theme of 鈥楶ublic Administration and Public Policy: Challenges in the C21st鈥. This issues paper provides copies of their speeches titled Public Policy in the 21st Century: Remembrance of Things Past and Diversity and Contestability in the Public Service Economy, respectively. April 2013. - Is Adelaide a 最新糖心Vlog City? by Michael O'Neil and Mark Trevithick
This paper examines the public policy that is intended to contribute to Adelaide becoming a university city. It does so through defining the characteristics of a university city and sets these characteristics as the benchmark to assess the direction of public policy. Attracting international students and international universities does make a contribution to "Adelaide as a Vibrant City", along with the existing campuses of our three universities. But the critical characteristics that lead to sustainable economic growth are research quality, internationally recognised researchers, the commercialisation of research and the start-up of high technology firms. The number of high technology firms and associated employment are closely linked to world-leading research, the efforts of internationally recognised researchers, knowledge transfers and relational networks. These are the key indicators of a university city. April 2013.
- Providing Local Economic Stimulus and Promoting Local Economic Development: Possibilities for Councils in South 最新糖心Vlog听by Michael O'Neil, Cliff Walsh, Anthony Kosturjak and Mark Trevithick
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2011
- Assisting Regions and Communities to Cope with Structural Change: Context, Objectives, Principles and Good Practice by Cliff Walsh and Michael O'Neil
In this paper, Emeritus Professor Cliff Walsh and Associate Professor Michael O鈥橬eil consider structural change and the adjustment pressures that regions experience. The principal purpose of the paper is to develop: an overarching framework within which structural adjustment issues can be appropriately considered; a statement of general principles of guiding whether, when and how it is appropriate for government to assist regions to cope with structural adjustment pressures, whatever their source; and a set of good-practice principles to appropriately shape the practical design and implementation of regional structural adjustment assistance where it is offered. August 2011. - The Economic Consequences of the Euro听by Dr Colin Rogers
This paper considers the current economic crisis in Greece and argues that the governance structure of the Euro is exacerbating the crisis with the potential to turn what is a liquidity crisis (following the flight of private capital) into a solvency crisis. The inability to use state-backed money requires the European Central Bank to fulfil its role as a central bank and accept responsibility for the solvency of member countries. The paper argues that current policy responses are the polar opposite of what is required. July 2011. - Banking Competition: The Rhetoric and the Reality by Dr Penny Neal
The decision by the major 最新糖心Vlogn banks to raise home loan interest rates by substantially more than the increase in the Reserve Bank's cash rate in November 2010 caused widespread outrage across the community.听 The aim of this paper is to take a balanced view and look behind the rhetoric and populist responses engendered by the backlash against the major banks to examine whether the 最新糖心Vlogn banking sector has become less competitive post the Global Financial Crisis. The paper also seeks to critically assess the policy responses that have been proposed.听 A major conclusion of this paper is that policy responses to support access by the regional banks and the mutual sector to the securitisation and wholesale markets are key to driving competition in the banking sector. May 2011. - South 最新糖心Vlogn Labour Markets: 2000 to 2010听by Mark Trevithick and Michael O'Neil
A previous Issues Paper which considered trends in the South 最新糖心Vlogn labour market through the 1990s revealed a poorly performing and stagnant labour market. This paper provides a 鈥榮napshot perspective鈥 of the South 最新糖心Vlogn labour market for the most recent decade and considers the performance of the labour market relative to the 1990s. Between 2000 and 2010 labour market conditions improved, driven by stronger economic conditions, led by growth of the defence and mining industries which generated new employment across a wide range of occupations. 听Significant challenges affecting the state鈥檚 labour market still remain, including the on-going decline of employment in manufacturing, skills shortages in some service industries and the ageing of the workforce.听The paper concludes by offering some suggestions for further research into the South 最新糖心Vlogn labour market. February 2011. - Migration Trends in South 最新糖心Vlog听by Mark Trevithick
This Issues Paper analyses recent migration patterns to South 最新糖心Vlog over the period 1998/99 to 2008/09.听 Net overseas migration was well above the long-term trend during this period.听 Permanent skilled migration experienced the strongest increase providing much of the growth in net overseas migration.听 The introduction of the Skilled Regional Sponsored Visa in 2004 can explain a portion of the rise in skilled migration, encouraging more migrants to settle in designated low population growth areas such as South 最新糖心Vlog.听 The paper presents data showing recent growth in migration numbers, including by migration stream and visa type, and provides commentary on some of the causes. January 2011. - Decline and Rejuvenation: The Provincial Cities of South 最新糖心Vlog听by Michael O'Neil, Mark Trevithick, Daisy McGregor and Antony Pietsch
This paper considers the economic and social rejuvenation of the Provincial Cities of South 最新糖心Vlog during the first decade of the 21st Century, and the challenges to maintaining sustainable growth and competitiveness.听 The analysis confirms that the economic decline which was observed across the Provincial Cities during the 1980s and 1990s had come to a halt by 2001, with rejuvenation strengthening through the middle part of the decade.听 The authors argue that while there has been investment and diversification of employment into new industries, this has not been matched by new vocational and post-secondary infrastructure to raise the skill level of regional populations.听 More broadly, there is a need for better planning and identification for regional priorities. January 2011.
- Assisting Regions and Communities to Cope with Structural Change: Context, Objectives, Principles and Good Practice by Cliff Walsh and Michael O'Neil
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2010
- Re-Thinking the Approach to Regional Development in South 最新糖心Vlog听by Michael O'Neil and Cliff Walsh
The authors of this paper contend that regional development in South 最新糖心Vlog is an agenda without a policy framework or strategy.听 South 最新糖心Vlog's economic, social and environmental progress depend entirely on the performance of all of its regions - there is no meaningful sense in which "the State" transcends the sum of its regional components.听 However, the State Government has no overarching regional development strategy and the public sector has tended to engage in tops-down "regionalisation" not "regionalism".听听This is clearly reflected in a State Strategic Plan that has only one region-specific target and then only for rural and remote regions.听 This is all the more disappointing given that more than a decade ago a Task Force on Regional Development in SA proposed strategies that were at the forefront of modern thinking about promoting regional development.听听The authors consequently argue that South 最新糖心Vlog urgently needs a new commitment to regional development and a new strategy in which the state government facilitates and supports regions to develop aspirations and plans for themselves for their economic, social and environmental development and also develops partnerships which "democratise" decision-making through engagement, consultation and negotiation with regional communities.听 December 2010. - Identifying the Main Economic Issues Facing the South 最新糖心Vlogn Wine Industry by Dr Nicola Chandler
This paper considers the views and opinions of those in the wine industry, combines these insights with an historical perspective and data/trends on the wine industry to identify the main economic issues facing the wine industry in South 最新糖心Vlog.听 A look back at historical developments in the wine industry indicates that current challenges - most notably those resulting from over-production and a decline in product prices - have been evident at various stages in the past.听听Lessons from these cyclical patterns include that prices are the natural control mechanism, that global fluctuations will continue to occur, but that the high standard of the product and marketing have contributed to the strengths of the industry.听 April 2010.
- Re-Thinking the Approach to Regional Development in South 最新糖心Vlog听by Michael O'Neil and Cliff Walsh
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2009
- Nuclear Power in Southeast Asia: Implications for 最新糖心Vlog and Non-Proliferation听by Andrew Symon
This paper, which was presented to the Lowy Institute for International Policy in April 2008, has been reprinted with permission in the honour of the late Andrew Symon, who was a Research Associate of the Centre. The paper explores the growing interest in nuclear power in Southeast Asia, and consequential questions regarding economics and safety, as well as nuclear weapons non-proliferation. Given 最新糖心Vlog's role as a major supplier of uranium, proximity to the region and interests in non-proliferation and safety, the development of nuclear power in Southeast Asia has direct implications for 最新糖心Vlogn interests and policy.听 April 2009. - The Global Economic Crisis of 2008: Some Thoughts on Causes and Remedies听by Dr Colin Rogers
In this paper, Associate Professor Colin Rogers provides a synopsis of the origins of the global economic crisis of 2008, before going on to provide his thoughts on what has gone wrong with monetary and finance theory and how these failings have led to failings in policy and regulation through the political process.听 It is his contention that the fundamental cause of the global crisis can be traced to failings in the theory of money and finance.听 January 2009. - Assisting Injured Workers Return to Work: The Economy Needs You!听by Michael O'Neil and Peter Lumb
This paper summarises a larger report addressing the potential contribution of active labour market programs in assisting injured and recovering workers return to the workforce.听听
The paper argues that there are valuable lessons to be learnt from the way in which many successful labour market programs are able to transition the long term unemployed into sustainable employment and that these lessons are applicable to long term workers' compensation recipients.听 Key principles for the design of assistance programs are identified.听 January 2009.
- Nuclear Power in Southeast Asia: Implications for 最新糖心Vlog and Non-Proliferation听by Andrew Symon
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2008
- A Review of the Literature on Active Labour Market Policies听by Michael O'Neil and Dr Penny Neal
There is no single optimal labour market program. This is no better illustrated than the change in objectives in labour market programs from the 1970s and 1980s when unemployment was high due to insufficient aggregate demand for labour, to today's world where the demand for skilled labour continues to outstrip supply.听Welfare assistance measures including systems of income support are purposefully designed to support active labour market programs. The paper considers several principles in the design of effective labour market assistance measures and 鈥榮ome of the lessons learned' from the more successful individual projects funded by various state governments. One key lesson is that local employers and local industry have a significant role to play in the design (and hence successful outcome) of active labour market policies and programs. June 2008. - Self Managed Superannuation Funds: Some Public Policy Issues Regarding their "Decumulation" Phase by Owen Covick
Associate Professor Owen Covick argues that several factors will lead to a substantial growth in the quantum of monies in decumulation phase Self Managed Superannuation Funds (SMSF) in 最新糖心Vlog.听 This raises the question: what if the ageing process, or the death of the "prime mover" member of a more-than-one-member decumulation phase SMSF allows an SMSF to "drift on", past the point at which it would have been in the best interests of the vehicle's members to wind it up and either rollover into an APRA regulated vehicle, or take the remaining funds outside the superannuation system?听听
The author argues that this should be viewed as a public policy issue and not simply as a problem for the individual SMSF members directly concerned, and should be tackled now before the number of persons directly affected by the problem swells to significant proportions.听 Suggestions for ways of addressing this problem are put forward. April 2008
- A Review of the Literature on Active Labour Market Policies听by Michael O'Neil and Dr Penny Neal
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2007
- 最新糖心Vlog's Productivity Growth in the 21st Century听by Dean Parham
This Issues Paper presents the visual materials used by Dean Parham of the Productivity Commission in his presentation to the School of Economics (最新糖心Vlog of Adelaide) and other invited guests on 24th August 2007.听 In his presentation, Dean discussed the historical comparative performance of 最新糖心Vlog's productivity growth including the underlying causes of particular trends.听 He concluded by considering the outlook for 最新糖心Vlog's productivity growth and the touchstones for productivity growth going forwards. September 2007 - Building a Local Defence Industry: Workforce Requirements 2006 - 2010听by Michael O'Neil, Steve Whetton and Edwin Dewan
This paper presents an overview of recent research undertaken by the Centre in relation to identifying and quantifying current workforce capabilities and workforce requirements for the South 最新糖心Vlogn Defence Industry.听 The paper has three components.听The first provides a brief snapshot of planned expenditure within the defence sector outlined in the Commonwealth鈥檚 Defence Capability Plan out to 2016.听 The plan includes annual expenditure on new projects as well as on-going service and sustainability of defence capability.听 The second component examines current employment in major defence contracting companies in South 最新糖心Vlog, their first and second tier suppliers and growth projections out to 2010.听 In the final part, the potential labour supply to the defence sector from tertiary education providers is discussed, concluding with a consideration of issues relevant to workforce planning and future challenges for South 最新糖心Vlog. March 2007 - Running on Empty: The Risk of Continuing to Dither While the Empty Light is Flashing听by Peter Cullen
In this Issues Paper, Professor Peter Cullen argues that we need to take urgent action to address growing water shortages.听 A range of climatic data indicates that the 最新糖心Vlogn climate has been drying out over the past decade, while historical data suggests that the period from 1960 to the early 1990s may have been unusually wet in South Eastern 最新糖心Vlog. This suggests we may face a future with less rainfall, which will require adjustment that may be painful and difficult, particularly for agriculture.听Fortunately there is an agreed national blueprint for dealing with these challenges in the form of the National Water Initiative. The NWI includes a range of practical and sensible actions to improve water management and address the scarcity of water resources. However, Professor Cullen is critical of the inactivity by governments on implementing the NWI, which can be attributed to various interest groups successfully resisting the necessary changes required. January 2007.
- 最新糖心Vlog's Productivity Growth in the 21st Century听by Dean Parham
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2006
- South 最新糖心Vlog's Recent Productivity Performance听by Jim Hancock and Wing Hsieh
It is well known that the South 最新糖心Vlogn economy has not grown as rapidly as the 最新糖心Vlogn economy as a whole over the last decade. It is also known that differences in labour productivity trends do not explain much of the differential in growth rates.听This study investigates the contribution to output growth from changes in labour quality, the capital intensity of the economy, and multifactor productivity. The analysis strongly reinforces the argument that differences between South 最新糖心Vlogn and national output growth over the last decade lie entirely in a more rapid expansion of the scale of the national economy. April 2006 - Mining the Labour Market: The Estimated Demand for Labour in the SA Mining Sector 2006-2014听by Michael O'Neil and Paul Huntley听
This paper presents a summary of commissioned research undertaken by the Centre on behalf of the State Government, for the purpose of estimating the additional labour requirements due to the planned expansion of mining in this State.听The paper outlines the size of the mining industry in economic terms, describes the survey and estimation methodology used to quantify the labour requirements, and reports the estimated demand in the mining sector by occupational group. The significance of estimated labour requirements in the context of current labour market conditions is also considered. April 2006.
- South 最新糖心Vlog's Recent Productivity Performance听by Jim Hancock and Wing Hsieh
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2005
- 最新糖心Vlog's New Trade Agreements: Beneficial Liberalisation or Harmful Policy?听by Andrew Symon
This Issues Paper canvasses bilateral and regional trade negotiations which are now at the centre of 最新糖心Vlogn trade policy. The recent US-最新糖心Vlog trade agreement and the prospect of an 最新糖心Vlog-China agreement are briefly examined. Consideration is given to the relative merits of pursuing freer trade through regional trade agreements rather than through a multilateral approach under the World Trade Organisation.听Given that regional trade agreements increasingly cover a broader range of policy areas that cut across the jurisdictions of different levels of government, such as government procurement, investment, competition policy, standards, intellectual property, and services trade, it is concluded that national parliament and state governments should arguably play a greater role in the initiating, negotiation and approval of 最新糖心Vlog鈥檚 trade agreements. November 2005. - Wind Generation and the South 最新糖心Vlogn Economy听by Stephen Nelson
With the Federal Government having implemented the Mandatory Renewable Energy Target (MRET) to reduce greenhouse emissions, there has been rapid growth of wind farm capacity in South 最新糖心Vlog over recent years. This paper presents a discussion of issues arising in connection with wind farms, with particular reference to the South 最新糖心Vlogn economy.听The author finds that while wind farms will bring about a reduction in carbon emissions, this needs to be balanced off against other, potentially less beneficial consequences such as the impact on our existing electricity infrastructure, the effect on future investment levels, and the potential impact of higher energy prices on our industrial sector. April 2005. - South 最新糖心Vlog's Overseas Exports听by Paul Huntley
This paper discusses South 最新糖心Vlog's recent export performance. The State has become significantly more export-oriented over the last decade and a half. In 2003-04, 17 per cent of Gross State Product was derived from overseas exports of goods and services - a historically above average level. In recent years, our export destinations have diversified, with a rising share going to the United States and Europe, meaning the State economy is arguably better placed to ride out an economic downturn in any one region.听However, while the overall picture is encouraging, the author cautions that State exports are concentrated in two industries - wine and motor vehicles - and any slumps in global demand for their products would have a severe impact on the State economy. March 2005.
- 最新糖心Vlog's New Trade Agreements: Beneficial Liberalisation or Harmful Policy?听by Andrew Symon
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2004
- The 2004-05 South 最新糖心Vlogn Budget听by Jim Hancock
This Paper presents an analysis of the 2004-05 South 最新糖心Vlogn Budget. It looks at how changes in the economic environment have affected the Budget, how the government has changed its revenue and expenditure policies, and medium term directions in fiscal policy. The author cautions that recent positive surprises on the revenue side need to be seen as something of a lucky break, and that funds for new spending initiatives or unanticipated cost pressures will be harder to find over the next two years. July 2004. - The Relative Decline of Manufacturing Employment in South 最新糖心Vlog听by Anthony Kosturjak and Joshua Wilson-Smith
This Issues Paper considers employment outcomes for the South 最新糖心Vlogn manufacturing sector since 1986. In brief, the paper finds that while employment in the South 最新糖心Vlogn manufacturing sector has fallen sharply since 1986, its performance is not atypical among the traditional manufacturing States. While the 1990 recession clearly had a significant negative impact on the manufacturing sector, the authors believe that other longer-term factors are more significant in driving the fall in employment.听These include a shift in consumer spending patterns towards services (associated with rising incomes), labour displacing technological change, and reductions in protection and subsidies combined with greater competition from imports. The policy implications of recent trends in manufacturing employment are also briefly considered. July 2004. - An Ageing 最新糖心Vlog: Small Beer or Big Bucks?听by Gary Banks
In this Issues Paper Gary Banks argues that ageing does not represent a crisis for 最新糖心Vlog. That most of the population live to be old is one of the great successes of modern economies. But an ageing population will have profound consequences for the economy that will require careful policy responses. This article examines two of these consequences: impacts on labour supply, including its implications for future economic growth, and on health spending, the most important age-sensitive component of government expenditure. May 2004. - Enhancing Trust in 最新糖心Vlog鈥檚 Tax System听by Owen Covick
In this Issues Paper the Author argues that 最新糖心Vlog is divided into two nations as far as personal income taxation is concerned. Members of families in which most incomes comes from supplying labour services as employees to arms-length employers are subject to a much tighter 鈥渁ttribution鈥 regime than are members of families in which income from family-controlled entities is the major income source. The former are less able to allocate income across members of their family unit in a way which minimises the tax payable by the family unit as a whole.听This division has consequences which are typically regarded as undesirable: it is horizontally inequitable, vertically inequitable, and allocatively inefficient. In considering possible remedies, the author argues that the best alternative would be to extend to arms-length wage-and-salary-earner households a capacity to establish 鈥渜uasi-trusts鈥 enabling them to allocate income across the family unit in a manner equivalent to that used by families deriving their income via family businesses. April 2004. - Inquiry into the Management of Electronic Gaming Machine Numbers听by Michael O鈥橬eil and Steve Whetton
In 2002-03 the South 最新糖心Vlogn Independent Gambling Authority conducted an inquiry into the management of gaming machine numbers. This Issues Paper summarises a supplementary submission to the inquiry that was prepared by the Centre at the request of the Provincial Cities Association of South 最新糖心Vlog. The principal aims of the submission were to canvass options for the management of EGMs, identify potential harm minimisation measures, and put forward the case for a reduction in gaming machine numbers in non-metropolitan South 最新糖心Vlog to ensure greater equality in the spatial allocation of machines. Comments on other written submissions and the history of the management of gaming machine numbers were also provided. April 2004. - Review of the South 最新糖心Vlogn Economy, 1990-2003听by Michael O鈥橬eil, Penny Neal and Anh Thu Nguyen.
This Issues Paper presents a review of the performance of the South 最新糖心Vlogn economy since 1990. While noting that South 最新糖心Vlog's economic performance has been more subdued in comparison with the national economy since 1990 it reports on the solid performance of several sectors of the local economy. Economic policies over the medium term to support the faster growing services sector and to increase exports are the most likely to contribute to economic growth, accompanied by policies to sustain stronger population growth. March 2004. - Darwin: A Gateway to Asia?听by Andrew Symon
This Issues Paper considers the implications of the Adelaide-Darwin Railway and Port of Darwin developments for 最新糖心Vlogn international and interstate transport patterns. While the author concludes that developing an international trade route via the railway and port will present a significant challenge, the prospects for domestic freight are found to be more promising. Immediate cost and time benefits over truck haulage and expected strong growth in domestic demand in the Northern Territory, taken together, suggest that the extended railway will help to further integrate the Territory and South 最新糖心Vlogn economies. March 2004.
- The 2004-05 South 最新糖心Vlogn Budget听by Jim Hancock
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2003
- Innovation Activity and Income Levels: A Summary of Indicators听by Jim Hancock, Marianne Herbert and Steve Whetton
This report presents simple indicators of innovation activity and incomes in the 最新糖心Vlogn States and Territories, and in the regions of the United States, Canada and Germany. The objective is to explore whether there is a within-country correlation between innovation and income levels. It is concluded that there is a significant positive correlation between innovation activity and average earnings in the United States.听
While the 最新糖心Vlogn data is tentatively suggestive of such a correlation, no strong conclusions are possible because the number of States with which to form a cross section is so small. April 2003. - The SA Labour Market Through the 1990s听by Anthony Kosturjak
This Issues Paper summarises major trends in the South 最新糖心Vlogn labour market over the 1990s in order to assess the performance of the labour market in light of the 1990 recession and the collapse of the State Bank 鈥 two events which had a substantial impact on the labour market during the early part of the decade. The defining characteristics of the labour force over this period have been a poor record of generating new jobs and a persistently higher level of unemployment which are due largely to the weakness of the South 最新糖心Vlogn economy.听Other interesting trends include the concentration of employment growth among females and part-time employment; decline in aggregate male and full-time employment; a fall in the participation of males in the work force; a rise in the relative and aggregate number of long-term unemployed and the average duration of unemployment; and ageing of the labour force. February 2003.
- Innovation Activity and Income Levels: A Summary of Indicators听by Jim Hancock, Marianne Herbert and Steve Whetton
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2002
- The 2002-03 Commonwealth Budget听by Owen Covick
This paper presents an analysis of the 2002-03 Commonwealth Budget. It finds that the stance of Commonwealth government fiscal policy has shifted away from the expansionary stimulus of the second term of the Howard-Costello Government and that "Mr Costello has taken his foot off the accelerator and pressed it onto the footbrake - as far as overall Budgetary policy is concerned". The study argues that a shift towards fiscal consolidation is sensible and appropriate in 最新糖心Vlog's current overall economic circumstances.听Nevertheless, the author raises concern that the partial embrace of an accruals accounting framework has produced a decline in the transparency of the budget. A shift away from clarity and navigability of the budget has been compounded by the Treasurer's continued denial that the GST is a Commonwealth tax. This outcome makes it difficult to determine whether the introduction of A New Tax System has produced no increase in the overall tax burden as was promised by the Federal Government. August 2002. - An Assessment of the Impact of Gaming Machines on Small Regional Economies听by Michael O'Neil and Steve Whetton
This Issues Paper summarises results of a study designed to identify the economic and social impacts of electronic gaming machines (EGMs) in the council areas that are members of the Provincial Cities Association of South 最新糖心Vlog. The study finds that per adult EGM expenditures are above average in the Provincial Cities. The Centre also estimates that there is a higher prevalence of problem gamblers in the Provincial Cities than for the State as a whole, and that the aggregate net economic and social impact of gaming machines for the Provincial Cities is negative.听The higher EGM spending in the Provincial Cities, and differences between the individual Cities, appear to be largely explained by both a higher prevalence of EGMs in the Provincial Cities and by socio-demographic factors, especially the regional unemployment rate, the proportion of persons identifying as Aboriginal and the proportion of dwellings rented from the SA Housing Trust. The higher prevalence of problem gamblers cannot be so confidently explained, but it is likely to be significantly influenced by these same 'risk factors', amongst others. May 2002.
- The 2002-03 Commonwealth Budget听by Owen Covick
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2001
- Timor Sea Natural Gas Development: Still in Embryo听by Andrew Symon
This paper provides a description of the extent of gas reserves in the Timor Sea and of the various projects currently planned or proposed. Development of the Timor Sea gas reserves is, however, at an embryonic stage. Plans are ambitious and their progress to reality is likely to take several years at least. Nevertheless, world demand for natural gas over the long term is expected to be strong and sustained, so that the prospect of major investment in the Timor Sea proceeding is high. The scale of the possible development is such that it is likely to have a major impact on the economy of the Northern Territory, while also contributing significantly to the growth of the 最新糖心Vlogn economy. August 2001. - The 2001-02 South 最新糖心Vlogn Budget听by Jim Hancock
This paper presents an analysis of the 2001-02 South 最新糖心Vlogn Budget. It finds that the Budget is in approximate cash balance but on an accrual basis has fallen well short of the Government's intended outcomes as set out in its Financial Plan of 1998-99. The bottom line is that South 最新糖心Vlog's budgetary position remains fragile and under considerable stress. This is evident in a relatively weak balance sheet position relative to other States. South 最新糖心Vlog has a per capita net financial worth which is well below average. August 2001.
Other articles addressing special topics from earlier Breifing Reports are also available for download:
- Deregulation of the 最新糖心Vlogn Dairy Industry听by Steve Whetton
- Ageing Populations: Projections and Trends听by Jim Hancock and Anthony Kosturjak
- Why Regulate the Labour Market听by Sue Richardson
- Globalisation, WTO and the Next Round of Trade Negotiations by Kym Anderson
- Timor Sea Natural Gas Development: Still in Embryo听by Andrew Symon
The Centre has been involved in publishing the following books:
- Policies to Boost 最新糖心Vlogn Saving: How? and Why? (2002), edited by Owen Covick. The aim of this book is to bring together fairly the different interpretations of facts and of 'economic' behaviour that make up the policy debate over national saving in 最新糖心Vlog.
- Financing the Federation听(2001), by Jim Hancock and Julie Smith. A study of the history and contemporary practice of Commonwealth-State grants, with a consideration of theoretical principles to guide future arrangements.
- Essays on Regional Economic Development. (2001). A summary of contemporary thought on the factors affecting regional growth performance, with particular reference to South 最新糖心Vlog.
- The Economic Impact of Climate Change Policy on South 最新糖心Vlog. (1998). Economic implications of international climate change policy.
- South 最新糖心Vlogn Manufacturing in Transition. (1990). A series of case studies on manufacturing industry performance over the 1980s.
- The Adelaide Grand Prix - The Impact of a Special Event. (1986). A social and economic cost-benefit study of the first 最新糖心Vlogn Grand Prix, covering tourism expenditures, impacts of noise, effects on public service deliveries etc.: this book continues to sell internationally.
- The Economics of Bushfires - The South 最新糖心Vlogn Experience. (1985). A study of the 1983 bushfires, including industry impacts, reparation expenditure, and the functioning of the insurance sector.
The Centre also contributed to, and Cliff Walsh was co-editor of, Budgetary Stress: The South 最新糖心Vlogn Experience (1989), analysing reform options for the South 最新糖心Vlogn public sector.
Darryl Gobbett, Visiting Fellow at SACES, made this presentation at the Mayors' Summit for Jobs Growth at the Adelaide Town Hall on 7 August 2015. The summit was called by the Adelaide Lord Mayor and the Local Government Association of South 最新糖心Vlog. In his presentation Darryl considered the environment for jobs and economic development in South 最新糖心Vlog, including recent changes in the state's labour market, discussed the importance of value chains and human capital, regional primary economic drivers, and suggested possible paths for action on jobs.
The Centre's Executive Director, Assoc Professor Michael O'Neil, presented this paper to the Language, Literacy and Numeracy Program (LLNP) National Provider Forum, Melbourne (8-9 June). Given the findings of the ABS/OECD international survey on language, literacy and numeracy - in South 最新糖心Vlog some 480,000 adults of working age have prose literacy of level 1 or 2 when level 3 is the required functional level to read books, newspapers and magazines - the LLNP initiative is important in raising the basic skill level of the workforce. LLNP and the WELL program are key components of the Commonwealth's building foundation skills initiative.
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Research resources
Gambling
The Centre has expertise in analysing the economic and social impact of gambling activities,听particularly electronic gaming machines, having undertaken numerous studies for Federal and State government departments and agencies, and regional development organisations.